Why Deontay Wilder will beat Robert Helenius: Odds, betting trends, predictions, expert picks for 2022 boxing fight

Deontay Wilder

Deontay Wilder makes his highly anticipated return to the ring on October 15. The former WBC heavyweight champion will look to get back into the win column when he faces Robert Helenius at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. 

Wilder is coming back from one of the greatest heavyweight fights in recent memory when he was stopped in the 11th round in an absolute war with Tyson Fury back in October 2021. He may have lost the trilogy, but Wilder remains one of the most beloved heavyweights in boxing. After a physically taxing series of fights with Fury, Wilder will look to get back to his winning ways against “The Nordic Nightmare,” Robert Helenius. 

The six-foot-six-inch Helenius matches up quite well physically with Wilder and has won three consecutive fights, including a pair of TKO victories over Adam Kownacki. But Wilder will be his most difficult opponent by far. 

With two giants set to square off in heavyweight action, The Sporting News breaks down the betting lines for Deontay Wilder vs. Robert Helenius. 

Betting Odds for Wilder vs. Helenius

  • Deontay Wilder: -700
  • Robert Helenius: +500

Prop Bets for Wilder vs. Helenius

  • Wilder by (T)KO: –
  • Wilder by Decision: +
  • Helenius by (T)KO: +
  • Helenius by Decision: +
  • Wilder wins in round 1-3:
  • Wilder wins in round 4-6:
  • Wilder wins in round 7-9
  • Wilder wins in round 10-12
  • Helenius wins in round 1-3
  • Helenius wins in round 4-6
  • Helenius wins in round 7-9
  • Helenius wins in round 10-12

Expert Prediction for Wilder vs. Helenius

Let’s make one thing clear: this fight will not go the distance.

The judges can pack it in and go home for the night because these two heavyweights will have no interest in allowing the scorecards to be read after 12 rounds. Wilder has only gone the distance twice, in bouts against Tyson Fury and Bermane Stiverne. Helenius has seen the judges’ scores more often but hasn’t gone the distance in over four years. 

Wilder is a significant favorite, and for good reason. Although he was entrenched in career-altering wars with Fury, Wilder still possesses freakish power that has proven to turn the tide at any given moment of a fight. Unfortunately, Fury had both the chin and the heart to survive Wilder’s nuclear bombs. 

Robert Helenius is not Tyson Fury. 

While both of his wins over Adam Kownacki were impressive, it doesn’t erase the fact that Helenius was knocked out by Gerald Washington just three years ago. A Gerald Washington that was obliterated by Wilder in 2017 and is 2-5 after starting his career 18-0-1. Helenius has also lost a unanimous decision to Dillian Whyte. He was also stopped in six rounds by Johann Duhaupas, another fighter who was knocked out by Wilder. 

It’s not a matter of if, but when Helenius will go down. 

You can suggest that Wilder may have had a lot taken out of him in those wars with Fury. However, nothing can take away from the power in Wilder’s right hand. And, again, Robert Helenius is not Tyson Fury.

When it comes to betting value, picking the round when Wilder will knock out Helenius is the challenge. 

Caesar’s Sportsbook currently has Wilder winning by knockout at ____, which is the expected method of victory. That isn’t worth betting on. Narrowing the window down has the most risk, but remains the only way to find value. 

Although Wilder has devastating power, he’s not known as someone who finishes his opponents early. Since 2015, Wilder averages just a shade over five rounds of ring time in his knockout victories. If you go by that metric, picking a finish in the middle rounds is the way to go. Helenius has been knocked out in rounds six and eight, but neither Washington nor Duhaupas have the power that Wilder possesses. 

But Wilder is a relatively slow starter who has no problem giving rounds away while he sets up the right hand. Helenius would be smart not to go at Wilder from the opening bell. That will allow the two to spend a few rounds feeling each other out before Wilder detonates the nuclear bomb of a right hand on Helenius’ chin. And unlike Fury, he won’t get up. 

The only way to make money is to pick the round when this will happen. Between rounds 4-6 sounds like the perfect time for Wilder to put an end to “The Nordic Nightmare.”

Sporting News Prediction: Deontay Wilder via 4-6 round (T)KO

When is Deontay Wilder vs. Robert Helenius? 

  • Date: Saturday, October 15
  • Main card: 9 p.m. ET | 2 a.m. BST | 11 a.m. AEST
  • Main event: 12 a.m. ET | 5 a.m. BST | 2 p.m. AEST (approximate)

Wilder vs. Helenius takes place on October 15. The main card will start at 9 p.m. ET | 2 a.m. BST | 11 a.m. AEST. Wilder and Helenius should make their way to the ring around 12 a.m. ET | 5 a.m. BST | 2 p.m. AEST, depending on how long the undercard fights last. 

How to watch Deontay Wilder vs. Robert Helenius?

  • Fox Sports
  • Traditional pay-per-view
  • FITE.tv
  • PPV.com

The Wilder vs. Helenius main card will air on Fox Sports PPV via Premier Boxing Champions. You can also view the fight via traditional PPV, FITE.tv, and PPV.com

You can use the Fox Sports app to watch the event. Viewers can stream through the Fox Sports app via Amazon Fire TV, Android TV, Apple TV, Roku, Xbox ONE, a laptop, or any mobile or tablet device. 

Deontay Wilder vs. Robert Helenius PPV price: How much does the card cost? 

The price of Wilder-Helenius will be the same as Andy Ruiz vs. Luis Ortiz: $74.99.

Wilder vs. Helenius fight card

  • Deontay Wilder vs. Robert Helenius; WBC heavyweight title eliminator
  • Caleb Planet vs. Anthony Dirrell; WBC super-middleweight title eliminator
  • Frank Sanchez vs. Carlos Negron; Heavyweights 
  • Gary Antonio Russell vs. Emmanuel Rodriguez; Bantamweights

اترك رد